Our tipster Jones Knows has four bets to attack over the Premier League weekend with 8/1 Aleksandar Mitrovic at the center of his mind.
How did we go last week?
I felt like Brenton Andreasik last week. Not aware of his work? I’ll fill you in.
On the first question, he crashed out of Who Wants To Be A Millionaire.
The question: “Taking selfies in kitchens you can’t afford and taking ‘a meatball break’ are two things Buzzfeed says every 20-something does on their first trip to where?”
The four possible answers were a) to Paris, b) to London, c) to Rome and d) to Ikea.
He answered, also confidently, Rome. Yes really.
Absolutely useless. It doesn’t get much worse. And that perfectly described my punting efforts last weekend, with four points embarrassingly heading south.
My theory that Bournemouth vs Tottenham, Brentford vs Wolves and Brighton vs Chelsea would all yield a low total goal count was too bad to be true. I played the under 5.5 goal line. There were 12 goals. And the play of both teams not scoring in all those three games at 8/1 wasn’t great to say the least either. Every team scored.
I wonder if Brenton Andreasik would like a beer?
P+L = -2
A world-class player with such ruthlessness in front of goal – only Erling Haaland has a better minutes-to-goal ratio than Mitrovic (113 minutes) this season – should be considered in the goal-scoring markets. Mitrovic has scored three of his nine head goals this season and no player in the league has attempted more headshots (21) or won more aerial duels (62) than the Serbian battering ram. City have conceded goals this season via headers from Joachim Andersen (Crystal Palace) and Rafa Mir (Seville) and just over 16 percent of all goals scored by City in the Pep Guardiola era came from headers.
Get me my wheelbarrow, will you. Put some money in it and head back to Nottingham Forest and the unders. Leaving aside Christian Eriksen, Brentford’s out form since promotion to the Premier League has been appalling. Without the Danish joy, the Bees have played 20 away games, won just twice and conceded an average of 2.1 goals per 90 minutes in those games. And then you throw Ivan Toney’s suspension into the mix. He is responsible for 40 percent of their commitment to the cause (27 out of 67) since promotion. Forest is limited, but they have already beaten West Ham and Liverpool at City Ground this season. Another hard-fought victory is within reach here.
Everton have improved since last season, but there is still an air of over-achievement on their underlying numbers when it comes to their defence. Everton have the fourth highest expected goals against this season (21.2) but have the fourth best defensive record (12 against). That’s an untenable benchmark and I’m not sure you can allow the quality of Harvey Barnes such a promising creation without being punished. The game plan is clearly of Brendan Rodgers to get his winger into dangerous positions in the penalty area and it is reaping the rewards with Barnes scoring three in his last six games, aided by great chemistry with James Maddison and Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall.
2 points out of a total of less than 5.5 goals in Chelsea vs Arsenal, Aston Villa vs Man Utd and Tottenham vs Liverpool (7/2 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)
Tired limbs result in tired matches where the goal lines are set too high by the markets. With five of these teams negotiating their 10th or 11th game in just over a month, it’s easy to foresee that these heavyweight clashes will turn into petty, low-energy cases. In addition, Unai Emery always sets up his teams in the early stages in a new club with a good defensive structure – out of a sample of eight matches, his first competitive league game averaged just 1.87 goals. new club.